Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 67.351733 76.108631 85.102794 94.998816 105.549840 116.432995 128.477460
2025-04-06 53.297116 65.706079 79.072153 94.406516 111.385827 129.494741 150.154087
2025-04-13 43.617674 57.719073 73.488672 92.155006 113.388748 136.559175 163.528432
2025-04-20 39.413935 55.210913 73.403906 95.451340 121.027844 149.391671 182.865204
2025-04-27 35.445568 52.436306 72.551493 97.453716 126.845729 159.897915 199.363046
2025-05-04 30.861474 48.411464 69.800227 96.859372 129.348710 166.380640 211.093264
2025-05-11 26.810354 44.648300 67.025893 95.933772 131.205651 171.912219 221.560610
2025-05-18 24.021905 42.258791 65.737932 96.624522 134.828842 179.379289 234.169210
2025-05-25 21.093029 39.395637 63.621422 96.095552 136.823597 184.810896 244.312606
2025-06-01 18.847480 37.273734 62.302799 96.431042 139.763115 191.282517 255.617292
2025-06-08 16.368105 34.568372 60.019065 95.372736 140.853084 195.443021 264.114945
2025-06-15 15.009369 33.419284 59.758079 96.868711 145.081294 203.359422 277.067046
2025-06-22 13.813154 32.440724 59.699906 98.637347 149.698203 211.828653 290.804081
2025-06-29 12.016545 30.311001 57.885714 97.966709 151.144844 216.382126 299.818104
2025-07-06 9.994877 27.555292 54.984978 95.674595 150.385535 218.123242 305.352889
2025-07-13 9.596017 27.606964 56.213450 99.043270 156.976844 228.997007 322.020934
2025-07-20 8.916129 27.071845 56.512052 101.090243 161.824378 237.694614 336.043093
2025-07-27 7.710144 25.399004 54.971934 100.482734 163.122302 241.908600 344.547487
2025-08-03 6.566097 23.682079 53.253270 99.536630 163.907254 245.431786 352.170744
2025-08-10 5.851831 22.747419 52.716368 100.242693 166.871677 251.698945 363.181037
2025-08-17 4.993694 21.364646 51.365785 99.702000 168.110708 255.740397 371.412400
2025-08-24 4.367033 20.401266 50.646910 100.044928 170.518902 261.260424 381.479240
2025-08-31 3.603238 18.953955 49.016529 98.963122 170.929693 264.179688 388.273290